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Buy & Hold is Not Always Better

While buy-and-hold strategies have their merits, active management presents a compelling case for investors seeking tactical growth and enhanced portfolio performance.

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HCM – Outlook for Q2 2024

We cannot let the currently positive set up blind us to risks and that’s why, while we are pleased with the market performance, we are also focused on managing both reward and risk because despite the strong performance, this market remains vulnerable to negative news.

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HCM Quarterly Review Q1 2024

The market traded erratically to start the year, trying to find its footing after 2023. No real surprise, a period of consolidation was warranted and needed for the market to move higher.

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Q1 2024 Market Snapshot

The first quarter of 2024 reflected a much more evenly distributed rally compared to the fourth quarter of 2023, where tech and tech aligned sectors handily outperformed the rest of the markets.

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HCM – Outlook for Q1 2024

While we are prepared for the positive outcome currently expected by investors, we are also focused on managing both risks and return.

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HCM Quarterly Review Q4 2023

2023 was a year of surprises for the markets as the expectations for a recession never materialized, inflation fell faster than forecasts, corporate earnings proved resilient and the Fed surprised markets by pivoting to a more dovish future policy.

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Q4 2023 Market Snapshot

During the quarter, the market narrative underwent a sudden shift driven by multiple downside surprises in inflation, sparking optimism that it would soon approach target levels.

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Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of Mutual Funds and ETFs. This and other important information about the Funds are contained in the prospectus, which can be obtained at www.howardcmfunds.com or by calling 770-642-4902/855-969-8464. The prospectus should be read carefully before investing.

 

The Funds’ portfolio holdings as of the end of each calendar month are posted on the Funds’ website no later than thirty days after the end of each month. This posted information generally remains accessible until the Funds post the information for the next calendar month to the Funds’ website. The Funds may choose to post their portfolio holdings on a more frequent basis, especially during periods of high market volatility. These off-cycle disclosures will be replaced with the normal monthly release when available.

 

Investments in Funds involve risk, including possible loss of principal. There is no assurance that the Funds will achieve their investment objectives. The advisor’s investment model carries a risk that the mathematical model used might be based on one or more incorrect assumptions. No assurance can be given that the Fund will be successful under all or any market conditions. The Fund’s use of derivatives, such as swaps, are subject to market risks that may cause their price to fluctuate over time. The Fund utilizes leverage to obtain investment exposure in excess of its net assets, and while the use of leverage may magnify potential gains in favorable markets, it will also magnify potential losses in adverse market conditions.

 

ETFs involve risk including possible loss of principal. When the Fund is out of the market and in cash or cash equivalents, there is a risk that the market will begin to rise rapidly and may cause the Fund to miss capturing the initial returns of changing market conditions. The mutual fund-in which the Fund may invest may use leverage. Using leverage can magnify a mutual fund’s potential for gain or loss and therefore, amplify the effects of market volatility on a mutual fund’s share price. The Fund may be subject to the risk that its assets are invested in a particular sector or group of sectors in the economy and as a result, the value of the Fund may be adversely impacted by events or developments in a sector or group of sectors. The price of small or medium capitalization company stocks may be subject to more abrupt or erratic market movements than larger, more established companies or the market averages in general. A higher portfolio turnover will result in higher transactional and brokerage costs and may result in higher taxes when Fund shares are held in a taxable account. ETFs and mutual funds are subject to investment advisory and other expenses, which will be indirectly paid by the Fund. As a result, the cost of investing in the Fund will be higher than the cost of investing directly in other investment companies and may be higher than other mutual funds that invest directly in securities. The market value of ETF and mutual fund shares may differ from their net asset value. Each investment company and ETF is subject to specific risks, depending on the nature of the fund.

 

The HCM-BuyLine® is a tactical proprietary indicator used to assist in determining when and how much to invest in equities. The HCM-BuyLine® is not an automated trading program, and not all HCM-BuyLine® signals will result in securities transactions. When the HCM-BuyLine® indicates a bull market, the firm identifies the particular mutual funds, ETFs, or individual securities that it believes have the best return potential in the current market from the universe of assets available in each given program and increases investment exposure to them. When the HCM-BuyLine® indicates a bear market, the firm moves clients’ investments to less risky alternatives, which may include cash, cash equivalents, and short term bonds. However, not every HCM-BuyLine® signal will result in full investment exposure to equities, nor will every HCM-BuyLine® sell signal result in full withdrawal from equity exposure. Not every HCM-BuyLine® buy or sell signal will result in a profitable trade. There will be times when following the indicator results in a loss. Each investment strategy we provide uses independent HCM-BuyLine® parameters, meaning the HCM-BuyLine® may produce different signals for different strategies at different times.

 

Except where agreed, we retain all discretionary decision-making with respect to securities transactions resulting from HCM-BuyLine® signals. As a result, transactions resulting from HCM-BuyLine® signals may not occur on the same day the signal(s) is produced. In addition, certain products, custodians and portfolios may have a delay in execution, which could cause actual transaction dates to differ from the dates when HCM-BuyLine® produced signals. In some instances, this could result in securities transactions (or lack of transactions) which result in less favorable overall performance than if the HCM-BuyLine® system had automatically initiated such transactions (or had refrained from such transactions). Use of HCM-BuyLine® does not guarantee outperformance of any strategies not employing such programs and does not insulate an investor from the risk of loss.

 

There can be no guarantee that the HCM-BuyLine® indicator will perform as anticipated. The HCM-BuyLine® is not a stoploss order that automatically sells securities in the portfolio at a certain price. As a result, it will not necessarily limit your losses to the desired amounts due to the limitations of the HCM-BuyLine®, market conditions, and delays in executing orders.

 

HCM Funds are distributed by Northern Lights Distributors, LLC, member FINRA/ SIPC. Northern Lights Distributors, LLC and Howard Capital Management, Inc. are not affiliated.

 

Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced US ETF is distributed by Alps Distributors, inc. For more information specific to Direxion products, please contact Direxion directly at info@direxion.com or 866-476-7523.

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